Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.291256 0.339098 0.392443 0.456359 0.530905 0.615158 0.717696
2025-02-09 0.220191 0.284445 0.363932 0.469627 0.606738 0.778947 1.012260
2025-02-16 0.179817 0.249380 0.341767 0.473726 0.657914 0.906728 1.269855
2025-02-23 0.150392 0.220940 0.320198 0.470476 0.693159 1.012439 1.507731
2025-03-02 0.125836 0.194245 0.295386 0.456405 0.707642 1.086913 1.707249
2025-03-09 0.113218 0.182726 0.290186 0.469196 0.761849 1.224735 2.019080
2025-03-16 0.100608 0.169061 0.279261 0.470554 0.796849 1.335351 2.300879
2025-03-23 0.091596 0.159778 0.273739 0.479272 0.843966 1.470124 2.639683
2025-03-30 0.081027 0.146304 0.259257 0.470308 0.858741 1.550576 2.892865
2025-04-06 0.072766 0.135731 0.248301 0.465783 0.880127 1.644183 3.180974
2025-04-13 0.066409 0.127756 0.240894 0.466535 0.910812 1.757645 3.520563
2025-04-20 0.063541 0.125950 0.244560 0.488527 0.984499 1.960798 4.062503
2025-04-27 0.060619 0.123818 0.247609 0.510253 1.061651 2.182815 4.679344
2025-05-04 0.057100 0.120068 0.247068 0.524752 1.126228 2.388378 5.292887
2025-05-11 0.052980 0.114525 0.242161 0.529351 1.170240 2.556180 5.847528
2025-05-18 0.048576 0.107811 0.233964 0.525712 1.195613 2.686664 6.336169
2025-05-25 0.043668 0.099381 0.221074 0.509957 1.191575 2.751032 6.679725
2025-06-01 0.041605 0.097090 0.221390 0.524279 1.258694 2.985948 7.465293
2025-06-08 0.038800 0.092738 0.216524 0.525799 1.295512 3.154246 8.110346
2025-06-15 0.036805 0.090053 0.215180 0.535560 1.353569 3.380831 8.935922
2025-06-22 0.033758 0.084451 0.206272 0.525524 1.360690 3.482110 9.448195
2025-06-29 0.031294 0.080003 0.199657 0.520457 1.379910 3.616483 10.069095
2025-07-06 0.029371 0.076707 0.195523 0.521299 1.414802 3.796088 10.841472